Ikota yesibili ka-2020 isidlulile, okusho futhi ukuthi ingxenye yokuqala yonyaka isidlulile, futhi sesingene engxenyeni yesithathu. Muva nje, i-WTO ikhiphe inguqulo ebuyekeziwe ye-"Global Trade Data and Outlook". Kusukela kokuqukethwe kombiko, ukuhweba komhlaba wonke kwehle ngo-3% engxenyeni yokuqala yalo nyaka, futhi kulindeleke ukuthi ukwehla kohwebo engxenyeni yesibili kuzokhula ku-18,5%. . Njengezwe elihweba elikhulu emhlabeni, ukuhwebelana kwezwe lami nakho kuthintekile kulo nyaka. Ngokwesimo esimenyezelwe yi-General Administration of Customs, inani eliphelele lokuhweba kwezwe lami nokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kwezimpahla ezinyangeni ezinhlanu zokuqala zalo nyaka lalingama-yuan ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-11.54, okungaphezu Kokuncipha ngo-4.9% ngesikhathi esifanayo. ngonyaka odlule.
Kunyuke ngo-18.8% engxenyeni yokuqala, hhayi ithemba ngekota yesibili
Kulo nyaka, ngenxa yalolu bhubhane, izifunda eziningi zomhlaba zizobhekana nokukhula okungekuhle komnotho. Lokhu kuyinto evamile. Nakuba izwe lami selilawule ubhubhane, njengezwe elikhiqiza umhlaba wonke, umnotho waseShayina uxhumene kakhulu nomnotho womhlaba futhi uzothinteka ngokwemvelo. Njengesidingo sempilo, izinkampani eziningi zokubonisa kufanele zizwelane nentuthuko engxenyeni yokuqala yonyaka. Mayelana nemboni yezwe lami yokubonisa i-LED, ikota yokuqala iyisizini ephansi. Ngenxa yeholide loMkhosi Wasentwasahlobo, uzophinde ube nomthelela ekuthengisweni kwenkampani. Leli dolobha elihlaselwe wubhubhane kulo nyaka selivalwe ezweni lonke isikhathi esingaphezu kwezinyanga ezimbili kusukela ekupheleni kukaFebhuwari, okunomthelela omkhulu nakakhulu embonini yokubonisa ama-LED. Kodwa-ke, njengoba ukuhweba kwezinkampani eziningi embonini akuzange kume ngoJanuwari naphakathi nasekuqaleni kukaFebhuwari, imboni ayizange ithinteke kakhulu kwikota yokuqala.
Ngokwezibalo ezivela ku-Omdia, ngekota yokuqala ka-2020, imakethe Isibonisi iqhubekile nokukhula unyaka nonyaka, nokuthunyelwa okungamamitha-skwele angama-255,648, okukhuphuke ngo-18.8% kusuka ku-215,148 square metres ngesikhathi esifanayo ngo-2019. imibiko yokusebenza ekhishwe izinkampani ezimbalwa ezinkulu ezisohlwini lwemboni engxenyeni yokuqala yekota, umthelela walolu bhubhane kwikota yokuqala awubanga mkhulu njengoba bekucatshangwa. Kodwa-ke, engxenyeni yesibili, isimo sokuvimbela nokulawula ubhubhane emhlabeni wonke asikabi nathemba. Amazwe amaningi asangaphansi kokulawulwa okuqinile futhi anokulawula okuqinile ngokuqhathaniswa ekuthengisweni nokuthekelisa kwamanye amazwe. Ngaphezu kwalokho, amazwe amaningi ngaphandle kwe-China angase angabi nawo Ngokuqala kabusha okuphelele komsebenzi nokukhiqiza, amandla okukhiqiza ngeke akwazi ukuhambisana. Kulindeleke futhi ukuthi ukwehla kwezohwebo engxenyeni yesibili yohwebo kuzokwanda.
Embonini yokubonisa i-LED, abantu abaningi embonini bakholelwa ukuthi izibalo zezinkampani ezinkulu kwikota yesibili zingase zingabi zinhle kakhulu. Ngemuva kwakho konke, izinkampani eziningi kwikota yesibili zingase zibe sesiteji esikhona se-oda "esiluhlaza nesiphuzi" noma ahlehlisiwe, futhi Awukho umkhondo we-oda elisha. Izici ezenziwe ngokwezifiso zezikrini zokubonisa ze-LED ziholele ezinkingeni ezinkulu zochungechunge lwemali ezinkampanini zethu eziningi kulesi simo. Futhi kukhona imiyalo yokuqala umsebenzi, awekho amaholide, noma ukudilizwa kanye nokuncishiswa kweholo, okwake kwaba ukuvezwa kweqiniso kwezinye izinkampani zokubonisa.
Esigabeni sokuqala nesesibili, izikrini zokubonisa ze-LED zathinteka kakhulu yilolu bhubhane. Kusukela ekuqalisweni kokuqala komsebenzi nokukhiqiza kuya kumthelela wemakethe olethwe ukuqubuka kwalolu bhubhane emhlabeni wonke, sekwakhe inselelo engokoqobo ezinkampanini ezibukisayo. Ngemva kokusabalala kwalolu bhubhane emhlabeni wonke futhi amazwe amaningi nezifunda sezisebenzise imingcele yezomnotho, izinkampani ezihweba kwamanye amazwe ziye zathinteka kakhulu. Ukuntenga kohwebo lwangaphandle kwenze ukuthi imakethe yasekhaya ibe inkundla yempi eyinhloko yezinkampani ezinkulu ezibukisayo, futhi izinkampani ziqinise futhi zandisa ukuphathwa nokuncintisana kwamashaneli asekhaya.
Ukuhlaziywa komkhiqizo nezimakethe
Eminyakeni yakamuva, inkambiso yemboni yokuqhutshwa yimikhiqizo emincane isobala kakhulu. Ngekota yokuqala yalo nyaka, ukuthunyelwa kwemikhiqizo enezingqimba ezingaphansi kuka-P1.0 kukhule kakhulu, futhi i-flip-chip COB ne-Mini LED iyaqhubeka nokunakwa. Ngokombono wesikhala sephoyinti lomkhiqizo, isivinini sokunwetshwa kwemikhiqizo ebangeni elingu-1-1.99mm sehlile. Imininingwane efanelekile ikhombisa ukuthi isigaba sika-1-1.99mm senyuke ngo-50.8% unyaka nonyaka, kanti izinga lokukhula ngonyaka odlule lalingu-135.9%. Isigaba sika-2-2.99mm sikhuphuke ngo-83.3% unyaka nonyaka, uma kuqhathaniswa nama-283.6% ngonyaka odlule. Njengamanje, i-P3-P4 isathandwa kakhulu emakethe, kodwa ukwanda kwayo konyaka nonyaka kwe-19.2%, izinga lokukhula lehlile. Ngaphezu kwalokho, imikhiqizo esebangeni le-P5-P10 yehle cishe ngo-7%.
Njengesisekelo sokukhula komkhakha, isibonisi se-LED esinephimbo elincane sisesesikhundleni esibaluleke kakhulu. Ukuze kwandiswe imakethe ngaphansi kwe-P1.0, izinkampani eziningi embonini zethule i-flip-chip COB kanye nemikhiqizo ye- "4-in-1" ye-SMD. Zombili zihlale zilandelwa abakhiqizi abasha bokuboniswa, futhi ukusebenza kwe-flip-chip COB kuvelele nakakhulu. Inqwaba yezinkampani ezifana neCedar Electronics, iZhongqi Optoelectronics, ne-Hissun Hi-Tech yethule imikhiqizo ye-flip-chip COB.
Ngokungeziwe ekukhuleni okuqhubekayo kwezibonisi ze-LED ezine-pitch encane , imakethe yezikrini ze-LED ezibonisa ngale kanye nezikrini zesigxobo sokukhanya kwe-LED nayo ithole ukunakwa okukhulu. Ikakhulukazi izikrini zezigxobo zokukhanya ze-LED, ngosizo lokuthuthukiswa kwemboni yezigxobo zokukhanya ezihlakaniphile, amandla okuthuthukiswa kwesikhathi esizayo ngokuvamile anethemba. Eqinisweni, lolu bhubhane silethe izinselelo nobungozi embonini nasekuthuthukisweni kwamabhizinisi, kodwa futhi luzala namathuba amasha. Lolu bhubhane lukhuthaze ukuthuthukiswa kwezingqungquthela zevidiyo eziku-inthanethi futhi lwanikeza amathuba okuboniswa kwe-LED, okufana ne-Ledman Optoelectronics, i-Absen, i-Alto Electronics, i-Unilumin Technology kanye nezinye izinkampani zethule imikhiqizo ehlobene yohlelo lwengqungquthela.
Ngaphansi kwesimo sokuvimbela nokulawula ubhubhane olujwayelekile, iHhovisi Lempucuko Emaphakathi liqondise zonke izifunda ukuze liqinisekise izidingo zokuphila zabantu ekwakhiweni kwamadolobha aphucuzekile, futhi lakhuthaza ukuthuthukiswa komnotho omile. Njengoba umnotho wezitolo uthuthuka ngokugcwele, izinkampani ezifana ne-Unilumin Technology embonini yethule imibukiso eyenziwe ngezifiso ngesikhathi esifanele Isikrini sokubonisa sibonisa ngokugcwele umuzwa wemakethe obukhali wezinkampani zokubonisa i-LED. Umoya wokuphayona wezinkampani ezibonisa i-LED ekumisweni kokujwayelekile kokuvimbela nokulawula ubhubhane usuyisihluthulelo sokugcina inkambiso yokukhula kwemboni.
Imakethe yokubuyisela
Unyaka wezi-2020 unyaka wokugcina wokunqoba okubalulekile kweShayina ekwakheni umphakathi ochumayo ngokusesilinganisweni ngendlela yawo wonke, futhi futhi uwunyaka wokuzuza ukuqedwa ngokuphelele kobumpofu. Ukufeza lo mgomo, izinga lokukhula kwalo nyaka kufanele lifinyelele ku-5.6%. Akunzima ukufinyelela ku-5.6% ngokwejubane elidlule lokuthuthukiswa komnotho, kodwa ngemuva kokuqubuka kungazelelwe ubhubhane olusha lomqhele, kuzoba nomthelela omkhulu emnothweni waseShayina. Ukuthi ingafinyelela izinga lokukhula elingu-5.6% sekuyiyona nto okugxilwe kuyo ukunakwa nezingxoxo phakathi kwazo zonke izinhlangothi.
U-Lin Yifu, uDini we-Institute of New Structural Economics yase-Peking University kanye noDini Ohloniphekile we-National Development Research Institute yase-Peking University, uthe: “Kulindeleke ukuthi ikota yesibili yalo nyaka izolulama kancane uma kuqhathaniswa. Ukukhula komnotho kwaminyaka yonke kungase kuncike engxenyeni yesithathu noma yesine. Uma ukukhula kwe-GDP ngekota yesithathu kungabuyela ku-10%, ukukhula komnotho walo nyaka kungafinyelela ku-3% kuya ku-4%.
U-Lin Yifu uphinde wathi uma sifuna ukuzuza ukukhula konyaka okungaphezu kuka-5.6%, kufanele sizuze ukuphindaphinda okungaphezulu kuka-15% engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka. I-China ayinalo leli khono, kodwa uma kucatshangelwa ukungaqiniseki kokuqubuka komhlaba wonke kwesifo esisha somqhele esigabeni esilandelayo, kufanele kunikezwe ikusasa. Shiya isikhala senqubomgomo esanele onyakeni.
Kukhona ama-troikas okukhula komnotho: ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe, ukutshalwa kwezimali kanye nokusetshenziswa. Ngokwezibikezelo ze-WTO, ukuhweba kulo nyaka kungase kwehliswe ngo-13-32%. Uma sibheka ukuthuthuka kwamanje kwalolu bhubhane lomhlaba wonke, akusenakwenzeka ukulindela ukuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe ukuze kuqhube umnotho kulo nyaka, futhi ukukhula komnotho kumele kuncike kakhulu kwezasekhaya.
Ngokusho kwedatha ekhishwe yi-National Bureau of Statistics ngoJuni 30, ngoJuni, inkomba ephelele ye-PMI yokuphuma yayingama-54.2%, amaphesenti angu-0.8 aphezulu kunenyanga edlule, futhi ukukhiqizwa nokusebenza kwamabhizinisi kwaqhubeka nokuba ngcono. Inkomba yokukhiqiza yokukhiqiza kanye nenkomba yemisebenzi yebhizinisi engakhiqizi, eyakha inkomba ephelele yokuphuma kwe-PMI, ibingu-53.9% no-54.4%, ngokulandelana, kusukela enyangeni edlule. Lokhu kukhombisa ukuthi umnotho wakuleli ususimama kancane kancane.
Ezinkampanini eziningi zasekhaya zokubonisa i-LED, ukuthi imakethe yinhle noma cha kuncike kakhulu emakethe yasekhaya. Ngemuva kwesigamu sokuqala sonyaka, amathemba aphezulu abekwe ekuthuthukisweni kwengxenye yesibili yonyaka.
Engxenyeni yokuqala yonyaka, izikrini zokubonisa i-LED zenze ukutshalwa kwezimali okubalulekile emakethe yenkomfa, ukuqapha umyalo kanye nezinye izinkambu. Izinkampani eziningi zokubonisa zisungule eyazo imikhiqizo yezinhlelo zenkomfa. Emkhakheni womyalo nokulawula, izibonisi ze-LED ezinephimbo elincane nazo ziyathembisa. Ngokocwaningo lwedatha, ukumbiwa kwamaphrojekthi okufaka izicelo zomphakathi kuyo yonke inethiwekhi kutholwe ukuthi isibalo samaphrojekthi wamathenda abandakanya isikhungo somyalo kusukela ngoJanuwari kuya kuMeyi kulo nyaka besiyizi-7,362, nokunyuke ngo-2,256 kusukela ngoJanuwari kuya kuMeyi nyakenye, kanye nonyaka. Izinga lokukhula konyaka laliphezulu njenge-44%. Ukukhula kwephrojekthi yesikhungo ngokungangabazeki kuyinzuzo enkulu ekukhuleni kwemakethe ye-pitch encane, futhi kuzoletha ukukhuphuka okusha ekuthuthukisweni kwemakethe ye-LED ekhombisa iphimbo elincane.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, selokhu kwaqubuka lolu bhubhane, imboni yezamasiko nezokungcebeleka empeleni ibisesimweni esintengantengayo. Kungashiwo ukuthi izibonisi ze-LED zingene ngokuphelele "ebusika" emakethe yokuqasha, futhi izinkampani zokubonisa eziqashisayo ze-LED zihlangabezane nezinselele ezingakaze zibonwe ngaphambili. Kuze kube nguMeyi, uMnyango Wezamasiko Nezokuvakasha ukhiphe “Imihlahlandlela Yokuvulwa Kabusha Kwetiyetha Nezinye Izindawo Zokusebenza Zokunqanda Nokulawula Izinyathelo Ezilwisana Nezifo Eziwumshayabhuqe” nezinye izaziso, eziqondisa ukuvulwa kwetiyetha nezinye izindawo zokudlala. Lokhu kuthathwa njengesibonisi se-LED ekugcineni singenisa intwasahlobo emkhakheni wesiteji nobuhle. Ngaphansi kokuqondisa koMnyango Wezamasiko kanye nomhlahlandlela wokuqalisa kabusha wamasosha, izindawo ezweni lonke sezivulwe ngokulandelana, futhi imidlalo yaseshashalazini nemincintiswano iqalwe kabusha, ngokungangabazeki izoletha ukuzethemba okuhle ezinkampanini zokubonisa i-LED nabasebenzisi bokugcina futhi isize ukubuyiselwa kwemakethe yokuqasha esiteji.
Ngokusho kwedatha ekhishwe uMnyango Wezamasiko Nezokuvakasha kanye noMnyango Wezokuthutha, ngesikhathi se-Dragon Boat Festival kulo nyaka (Juni 25-Juni 27), izwe lithole ingqikithi yezivakashi zasekhaya eziyizigidi ezingu-48.809. Isibalo sabavakashi kulo nyaka sibuyele esikhathini esifanayo ngonyaka odlule. Iholo lezokuvakasha selibuyele cishe ku-30% wangonyaka odlule. Lokhu futhi kuwuphawu oluhle lokusimama kancane kancane embonini yezokuvakasha. Ukusimama kancane kancane kwemikhakha emikhulu yezomnotho yasekhaya nakho kuzoba nomthelela omkhulu ekuthuthukisweni kwezibonisi ze-LED engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka. .
Ngaphezu kwalokho, imibukiso emikhulu nemibukiso izovulwa kancane kancane engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka, futhi imibukiso emikhulu ehlobene eduze nemibukiso ye-LED izobanjelwa ngokulandelana. Konke lokhu kuzobonisa ukuthi imakethe yokubonisa i-LED izoletha "ukubuyisela" engxenyeni yesibili yalo nyaka. Kuyiqiniso ukuthi ngemva kobunzima engxenyeni yokuqala yonyaka namalungiselelo asebenzayo, izibonisi ze-LED zizophinde zingenise ukuncintisana kwemakethe okushubile engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka. Ngobuningi bezinkampani zokubonisa i-LED, mhlawumbe ingxenye yesibili yonyaka izoba yisiqalo sangempela salo nyaka, futhi zizoqala futhi ngemva kokuhlanganisa kabusha!
Sekukonke, ingxenye yesibili yonyaka iyithuba lezinkampani zokubonisa i-LED, ikakhulukazi ohlelweni lokugqugquzela "ingqalasizinda entsha" ezweni, ukuboniswa kwe-LED kuzoba nokuningi okumelwe kwenziwe. Nokho, akufanele sibe nethemba elikhulu mayelana nengxenye yesibili yonyaka. Kudingeka sibe nokuqonda okucacile. Ziseningi izinto ezingaqinisekile mayelana nokukhula komnotho. Umphumela wempi yezohwebo yaseSino-US, ukwesulwa kwe-US kwesimo esikhethekile sase-Hong Kong, kanye nokuduba izimpahla zaseShayina okudalwe ukungqubuzana kwemingcele yaseSino-Indian. Uchungechunge lwezehlakalo lungase lube nomthelela othile ekuthuthukisweni kwawo wonke umnotho. Ngakho-ke, izinkampani zokubonisa i-LED zidinga ukuzethemba okuqinile, kodwa kufanele zenze intuthuko ngenkathi zigcina izinyawo zabo phansi, isinyathelo ngesinyathelo.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Oct-14-2020